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Inflasi, pengangguran, konsumsi dan FDI di negara Turki saling berkaitan?
Abstract
Keterkaitan antar variabel inflasi, pengangguran, konsumsi dan FDI di negara Turki bisa membawa dampak pada perekonomian, dampak tersebut bisa positif dan negative tergantung hasil korelasi antar variabel. Artikel ini membahas mengenai keterkaitan keempat variabel tersebut dalam jangka pendek serta jangka panjang dengan rentang tahun 2002 sampai dengan 2021. Peneliti menggunakan uji Johansson’s Cointegration Test untuk menelisik apakah terdapat korelasi antar variabel dalam jangka Panjang. Lalu diteliti lebih lanjut menggunakan Vector Error Correction Model. Dalam hasil tersebut terdapat hubungan bahwa FDI dan pengangguran memiliki hubungan yang signifikan positif. Sehingga FDI tidak bisa menurunkan tingkat pengangguran, sebab jika FDI mengalami kenaikan maka pengangguran juga akan meningkat. Dalam uji Granger Causality hanya beberapa variabel yang memiliki hubungan sebab akibat yaitu Consumption dan FDI, Consumption dan Unemployment dan terakhir adalah Unemployment dan Inflasi.
References
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Mazher, M., Mukhtar, T., & Sohail, S. (2020). Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Remittances on Unemployment in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis. IIIE Journal of Economics and Finance, 1(1).
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Maduku, H., & Kaseeram, I. (2018). Inflation targeting monetary policy and unemployment in South Africa. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 10(4 (J)), 88-96.
Golding, K., & Masih, M. (2018). Does foreign direct investment lead or lag employment? an ARDL approach.
Zengin, S., Yüksel, S., & Kartal, M. T. (2018). Understanding the Factors that affect Foreign direct investment in Turkey by Using mars method. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 10(18), 177-192.
Musa, K. S., & Maijama’a, R. (2020). Causal relationship between renewable energy consumption and unemployment in Nigeria: Evidence from Toda and Yamamoto causality technique. Energy Economics Letters, 7(1), 46-60.
Yang, X., & Shafiq, M. N. (2020). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment, Capital Formation, Inflation, Money Supply and Trade Openness on Economic Growth of Asian Countries. iRASD Journal of Economics, 2(1), 25-34.
Victor, V., Karakunnel, J. J., Loganathan, S., & Meyer, D. F. (2021). From a recession to the COVID-19 pandemic: Inflation–Unemployment Comparison between the UK and India. Economies, 9(2), 73.), 25-34.
Ahmad, A., & Khan, F. (2018). Investigating the determinants of youth unemployment in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Humanities & Social Science Research, 1(1), 1-12.
Rehman, A., Cismas, L. M., & Milin, I. A. (2022). “The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique. Sustainability, 14(14), 8642.
Sekmen, F., & Gökirmak, H. (2020). Inflation and foreign direct investment in Turkey. Applied Econometrics, 60, 70-79.
Mkombe, D., Tufa, A. H., Alene, A. D., Manda, J., Feleke, S., Abdoulaye, T., & Manyong, V. (2021). The effects of foreign direct investment on youth unemployment in the Southern African Development Community. Development Southern Africa, 38(6), 863-878.
Khan, M. I., Iqbal, A., Zaman, S. I., & Wajidi, F. (2020). Unemployment: A Missing Link. Market Forces, 15(2), 20-20.
Tsaurai, K. (2018). Exploring the employment effect of FDI in BRICS: Does conditionalities matter?. Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, 14(3).
Talha, M., Sohail, M., Tariq, R., & Ahmad, M. T. (2021). Impact of oil prices, energy consumption and economic growth on the inflation rate in Malaysia. Cuadernos de Economía, 44(124), 26-32.
SAMAILA, A., & MAIJAMA’A, D. A. N. J. U. M. A. (2021). Investigation of the nexus among Unemployment, Inflation, Transport and Electric Energy Consumption In Nigeria.
Shamshir, M., Rehman, N. A., Hussain, A., & Sabir, S. (2019). Relationship among Economic Growth and other Macroeconomic. Journal of Resources Development and Management, 60-68.
Onuoha, F. C., Okonkwo, I. C., Okoro, P., & Okere, K. (2018). The causal relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the macro-economy of selected west African countries: Panel ARDL/Granger Causality Analysis. African Research Review, 12(1), 140-163.
Mazher, M., Mukhtar, T., & Sohail, S. (2020). Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Remittances on Unemployment in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis. IIIE Journal of Economics and Finance, 1(1).
Saad, M., & Uddin, I. (2021). The impact of unemployment, money supply, financial development, FDI, population growth, and inflation on Economic growth of Pakistan. Meritorious Journal of Social Sciences and Management (E-ISSN# 2788-4589| P-ISSN# 2788-4570), 4(3), 1-17.
Maduku, H., & Kaseeram, I. (2018). Inflation targeting monetary policy and unemployment in South Africa. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 10(4 (J)), 88-96.
Golding, K., & Masih, M. (2018). Does foreign direct investment lead or lag employment? an ARDL approach.
Zengin, S., Yüksel, S., & Kartal, M. T. (2018). Understanding the Factors that affect Foreign direct investment in Turkey by Using mars method. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 10(18), 177-192.
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